Optimal temperature zone for the dispersal of COVID-19
Data
2020Autor
Huang, Zhongwei
Huang, Jianping
Gu, Qianqing
Du, Pengyue
Liang, Hongbin
Dong, Qing
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Resumo
It is essential to know the environmental parameters within which the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) can survive to understand its global dispersal pattern. We found that 60.0% of the confirmed cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) occurred in places where the air temperature ranged
from 5 °C to 15 °C, with a peak in cases at 11.54 °C. Moreover, approximately 73.8% of the confirmed cases
were concentrated in regions with absolute humidity of 3 g/m3 to 10 g/m3
. SARS-CoV-2 appears to be spreading
toward higher latitudes. Our findings suggest that there is an optimal climatic zone in which the concentration of
SARS-CoV-2 markedly increases in the ambient environment (including the surfaces of objects). These results
strongly imply that the COVID-19 pandemic may spread cyclically and outbreaks may recur in large cities in
the mid-latitudes in autumn 2020.
Palabras clave
COVID-19; Temperature; SARS-CoV-2; Dispersal; PandemicLink para o recurso
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139487Collections
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