Comprehensive identification and isolation policies have effectively suppressed the spread of COVID-19

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dc.creatorHuang, Yubo
dc.creatorWu, Yan
dc.creatorZhang, Weidong
dc.date.accessioned2020-08-31T17:21:33Z
dc.date.available2020-08-31T17:21:33Z
dc.date.created2020-10
dc.description.abstractenglishThe outbreak of COVID-19 has caused severe life and economic damage worldwide. Since the absence of medical resources or targeted therapeutics, systemic containment policies have been prioritized but some critics query what extent can they mitigate this pandemic. We construct a fine-grained transmission dynamics model to forecast the crucial information of public concern, therein using dynamical coefficients to quantify the impact of the implement schedule and intensity of the containment policies on the spread of epidemic. Statistical evidences show the comprehensive identification and quarantine policies eminently contributed to reduce casualties during the phase of a dramatic increase in diagnosed cases in Wuhan and postponing or weakening such policies would undoubtedly exacerbate the epidemic. Hence we suggest that governments should swiftly execute the forceful public health interventions in the initial stage until the pandemic is blocked.spa
dc.format.extent11 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110041spa
dc.identifier.issn0960-0779spa
dc.identifier.otherhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077920304392?via%3Dihubspa
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/12476
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherChaos, Solitons and Fractalsspa
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccessspa
dc.rights.localAcceso restringidospa
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLspa
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozanospa
dc.subjectModelo dinámico de transmisiónspa
dc.subjectPolíticas de contenciónspa
dc.subject.keywordTransmission dynamic modelspa
dc.subject.keywordContainment policesspa
dc.subject.lembSíndrome respiratorio agudo gravespa
dc.subject.lembCOVID-19spa
dc.subject.lembSARS-CoV-2spa
dc.subject.lembCoronavirusspa
dc.titleComprehensive identification and isolation policies have effectively suppressed the spread of COVID-19spa
dc.type.coarhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501spa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa
dc.type.localArtículospa

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