Evaluación de la integración de vehículos eléctricos en el mercado colombiano a 2050 usando dinámica de sistemas
| dc.contributor.advisor | Dyner Rezonzew, Isaac | |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Aristizabal Cardona, Andres Julian | |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Ángel Sanint, Enrique | |
| dc.creator | Galvez Avellaneda, Juan Camilo | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2024-06-11T16:24:19Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2024-06-11T16:24:19Z | |
| dc.date.created | 2024-06-06 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Este artículo se enfoca en la evaluación de las perspectivas y el potencial que Colombia posee para lograr una transición completa hacia vehículos eléctricos, con el objetivo de alcanzar una penetración del 100% de este tipo de automóviles para el año 2050. Para abordar este desafío, se plantean cuatro escenarios potenciales que parten de diferentes enfoques y estrategias. En estos escenarios, se consideran diversas variables que desempeñarán un papel fundamental en la transformación del parque automotor colombiano, tales como incentivos gubernamentales destinados a fomentar la adopción de vehículos eléctricos, la evolución de los precios de las baterías, los cambios en los costos de adquisición de los vehículos eléctricos, la expansión de la red de estaciones de carga y otros elementos relevantes para el análisis. Esta evaluación, busca proporcionar una visión clara de las posibilidades y desafíos que enfrenta Colombia en su camino hacia la electrificación del transporte, y ofrece un escenario para la toma de decisiones informadas en la formulación de estrategias que impulsen la adopción de vehículos eléctricos en el país. Con el propósito de alcanzar el objetivo que se describe en el artículo, se empleó un enfoque de modelado de simulación. A través de este proceso, se obtuvo un modelo definitivo que da la posibilidad de representar de manera visual el progreso de los diferentes escenarios a lo largo de los años. Esta representación gráfica brinda una comprensión clara acerca de cuáles escenarios cumplen con los parámetros establecidos para lograr la meta previamente establecida llegando a valores cercanos al 100% para el año 2050 de vehículos eléctricos en Colombia y teniendo una reducción considerable del CO2 producido por el sector de transporte en Colombia en un 27% menos en comparación al 2023, contando que el aumento de vehículos para el año 2050 será mucho mayor que en el periodo inicial, comenzando así un periodo de descenso para la contaminación en el país. | spa |
| dc.description.abstractenglish | This article focuses on evaluating the prospects and potential that Colombia must achieve a complete transition to electric vehicles, with the goal of achieving 100% penetration of this type of automobile by 2050. To address this challenge, four potential scenarios are proposed that are based on different approaches and strategies. In these scenarios, various variables are considered that will play a fundamental role in the transformation of the Colombian vehicle fleet, such as government incentives aimed at promoting the adoption of electric vehicles, the evolution of battery prices, changes in acquisition costs of electric vehicles, the expansion of the charging station network and other elements relevant to the analysis. This comprehensive assessment seeks to provide a clear view of the possibilities and challenges facing Colombia on its path towards the electrification of transport and offers a stage for informed decision-making in the formulation of strategies that drive the adoption of electric vehicles in the country. with the purpose of achieving the goal described in the article, a simulation modeling approach was employed. Through this process, a definitive model was obtained that allows visually representing the progress of different scenarios over the years. This graphical representation provides a clear understanding of which scenarios meet the established parameters to achieve the previously set goal, reaching values close to 100% for electric vehicles in Colombia by 2050 and significantly reducing CO2 emissions from the transportation sector in Colombia by 27% compared to 2023. Considering that the increase in vehicles by 2050 will be much higher than in the initial period, this marks the beginning of a period of decline in pollution in the country. | spa |
| dc.format.extent | 16 páginas | spa |
| dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | spa |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/34555 | |
| dc.language.iso | spa | spa |
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| dc.subject | GEI - gases de Efecto invernadero | spa |
| dc.subject | CO2 - Dióxido de carbono | spa |
| dc.subject | EV - Vehículos eléctricos | spa |
| dc.subject | ENME - Estrategia Nacional de Movilidad Eléctrica. | spa |
| dc.subject | UPME - Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética. | spa |
| dc.subject | RUNT - Registro Único Nacional de Tránsitop | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | GEI - Greenhouse gases | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | CO2 - Carbon Dioxide | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | EV - Electric Vehicles | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | ENME - National Electric Mobility Strategy | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | UPME - Mining-Energy Planning Unit | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | RUNT - National Unique Registry of Transit | spa |
| dc.subject.lemb | Vehículos eléctricos | |
| dc.subject.lemb | Política gubernamental | |
| dc.subject.lemb | Transición energética | |
| dc.subject.lemb | Energía renovable | |
| dc.title | Evaluación de la integración de vehículos eléctricos en el mercado colombiano a 2050 usando dinámica de sistemas | spa |
| dc.type.coar | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | spa |
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