Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures

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dc.creatorGuan, Dabo
dc.creatorWang, Daoping
dc.creatorHallegatte, Stephane
dc.creatorDavis, Steven J.
dc.creatorHuo, Jingwen
dc.creatorLi, Shuping
dc.creatorBai, Yangchun
dc.creatorLei, Tianyang
dc.creatorXue, Qianyu
dc.creatorCoffman, D’Maris M.
dc.creatorCheng, Danyang
dc.creatorChen, Peipei
dc.creatorLiang, Xi
dc.creatorXu, Bing
dc.creatorLu, Xiaosheng
dc.creatorWang, Shouyang
dc.creatorHubacek, Klaus
dc.creatorGong, Peng
dc.date.accessioned2020-07-15T21:59:00Z
dc.date.available2020-07-15T21:59:00Z
dc.date.created2020-06-03
dc.description.abstractenglishCountries have sought to stop the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) by severely restricting travel and in-person commercial activities. Here, we analyse the supply-chain effects of a set of idealized lockdown scenarios, using the latest global trade modelling framework. We find that supply-chain losses that are related to initial COVID-19 lockdowns are largely dependent on the number of countries imposing restrictions and that losses are more sensitive to the duration of a lockdown than its strictness. However, a longer containment that can eradicate the disease imposes a smaller loss than shorter ones. Earlier, stricter and shorter lockdowns can minimize overall losses. A ‘go-slow’ approach to lifting restrictions may reduce overall damages if it avoids the need for further lockdowns. Regardless of the strategy, the complexity of global supply chains will magnify losses beyond the direct effects of COVID-19. Thus, pandemic control is a public good that requires collective efforts and support to lower-capacity countries.spa
dc.format.extent13 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-0896-8spa
dc.identifier.issn2397-3374spa
dc.identifier.otherhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-0896-8spa
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/10612
dc.publisherScience Directeng
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLspa
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozanospa
dc.subjectComportamiento humanospa
dc.subjectCadena de suministrospa
dc.subject.keywordHuman behaviourspa
dc.subject.keywordSupply-chainspa
dc.subject.lembSíndrome respiratorio agudo gravespa
dc.subject.lembCOVID-19spa
dc.subject.lembSARS-CoV-2spa
dc.subject.lembCoronavirusspa
dc.titleGlobal supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measuresspa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa
dc.type.localArtículospa

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