Social network-based distancing strategies to flatten the COVID-19 curve in a post-lockdown world

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dc.creatorBlock, Per
dc.creatorHoffman, Marion
dc.creatorRaabe, Isabel J.
dc.creatorDowd, Jennifer Beam
dc.creatorRahal, Charles
dc.creatorKashyap, Ridhi
dc.creatorMills, Melinda C.
dc.date.accessioned2020-07-15T22:13:25Z
dc.date.available2020-07-15T22:13:25Z
dc.date.created2020-06-04
dc.description.abstractenglishSocial distancing and isolation have been widely introduced to counter the COVID-19 pandemic. Adverse social, psychological and economic consequences of a complete or near-complete lockdown demand the development of more moderate contact-reduction policies. Adopting a social network approach, we evaluate the effectiveness of three distancing strategies designed to keep the curve flat and aid compliance in a post-lockdown world. These are: limiting interaction to a few repeated contacts akin to forming social bubbles; seeking similarity across contacts; and strengthening communities via triadic strategies. We simulate stochastic infection curves incorporating core elements from infection models, ideal-type social network models and statistical relational event models. We demonstrate that a strategic social network-based reduction of contact strongly enhances the effectiveness of social distancing measures while keeping risks lower. We provide scientific evidence for effective social distancing that can be applied in public health messaging and that can mitigate negative consequences of social isolation.spa
dc.format.extent18 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-0898-6spa
dc.identifier.issn2397-3374spa
dc.identifier.otherhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-0898-6spa
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/10613
dc.publisherScience Directeng
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLspa
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozanospa
dc.subjectRedes socialesspa
dc.subject.keywordDistancing strategiesspa
dc.subject.keywordSocial networkspa
dc.subject.lembSíndrome respiratorio agudo gravespa
dc.subject.lembCOVID-19spa
dc.subject.lembSARS-CoV-2spa
dc.subject.lembCoronavirusspa
dc.titleSocial network-based distancing strategies to flatten the COVID-19 curve in a post-lockdown worldspa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa
dc.type.localArtículospa

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