A mathematical study on the spread of COVID-19 considering social distancing and rapid assessment: The case of Jakarta, Indonesia

Vista sencilla de ítem
dc.creatorAldila, Dipo
dc.creatorKhoshnaw, Sarbaz H.A.
dc.creatorSafitri, Egi
dc.creatorAnwar, Yusril Rais
dc.creatorBakry, Aanisah R.Q.
dc.creatorSamiadji, Brenda M.
dc.creatorAnugerah, Demas A.
dc.creatorAlfarizi GH, M. Farhan
dc.creatorAyulani, Indri D.
dc.creatorSalim, Sheryl N.
dc.date.accessioned2020-07-25T14:42:20Z
dc.date.available2020-07-25T14:42:20Z
dc.date.created2020-10
dc.description.abstractenglishThe aim of this study is to investigate the effects of rapid testing and social distancing in controlling the spread of COVID-19, particularly in the city of Jakarta, Indonesia. We formulate a modified susceptible exposed infectious recovered compartmental model considering asymptomatic individuals. Rapid testing is intended to trace the existence of asymptomatic infected individuals among the population. This asymptomatic class is categorized into two subclasses: detected and undetected asymptomatic individuals. Furthermore, the model considers the limitations of medical resources to treat an infected individual in a hospital. The model shows two types of equilibrium point: COVID-19 free and COVID-19 endemic. The COVID-19-free equilibrium point is locally and asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than unity. In contrast, COVID-19-endemic equilibrium always exists when . The model can also show a backward bifurcation at whenever the treatment saturation parameter, which describes the hospital capacity, is larger than a specific threshold. To justify the model parameters, we use the incidence data from the city of Jakarta, Indonesia. The data pertain to infected individuals who self-isolate in their homes and visit the hospital for further treatment. Our numerical experiments indicate that strict social distancing has the potential to succeed in reducing and delaying the time of an outbreak. However, if the strict social distancing policy is relaxed, a massive rapid-test intervention should be conducted to avoid a large-scale outbreak in the future.spa
dc.format.extent23 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110042spa
dc.identifier.issn0960-0779spa
dc.identifier.otherhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077920304367?via%3Dihubspa
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/11145
dc.publisherChaos, Solitons and Fractalseng
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLspa
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozanospa
dc.subjectCasos asintomáticosspa
dc.subjectDistanciamiento socialspa
dc.subjectPrueba rápidaspa
dc.subject.keywordAsymptomatic casesspa
dc.subject.keywordSocial distancingspa
dc.subject.keywordRapid testspa
dc.subject.keywordBasic reproduction numberspa
dc.subject.keywordBackward bifurcationspa
dc.subject.lembSíndrome respiratorio agudo gravespa
dc.subject.lembCOVID-19spa
dc.subject.lembSARS-CoV-2spa
dc.subject.lembCoronavirusspa
dc.titleA mathematical study on the spread of COVID-19 considering social distancing and rapid assessment: The case of Jakarta, Indonesiaspa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa
dc.type.localArtículospa

Archivos

Bloque original

Mostrando 1 - 1 de 1
Miniatura
Nombre:
A-mathematical-study-on-the-spread-of-COVID-19-considering-_2020_Chaos--Soli.pdf
Tamaño:
3.28 MB
Formato:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Descripción:
Documento reservado
Descargar

Bloque de licencias

Mostrando 1 - 1 de 1
Miniatura
Nombre:
license.txt
Tamaño:
2.87 KB
Formato:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Descripción:
Descargar

Colecciones

Documentos científicos relacionados a la COVID-19

Carrera 4 # 22-61 Teléfono: (+57) 601 242 7030 - 018000111022 Fax: (+57) 601 561 2107 Bogotá D.C., Colombia

Fundación Universitaria de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozano | Vigilada Mineducación

Institución de educación superior privada, de utilidad común, sin ánimo de lucro y su carácter académico es el de Universidad

Reconocimiento personería jurídica: Resolución 2613 del 14 de agosto de 1959 Minjusticia.

Institución de Educación Superior sujeta a inspección y vigilancia por el Ministerio de Educación Nacional.

Software DSpace copyright © 2002-2026 LYRASIS