Plataforma de evaluación de políticas para la transición eléctrica colombiana hasta 2050
| dc.contributor.advisor | Dyner Rezonzew, Isaac | |
| dc.creator | Palacios Palacios, Farikc Yorley | |
| dc.creator | Parra Valencia, Jorge Andrick | |
| dc.creator | Ángel Sanint, Enrique | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2025-01-23T20:02:48Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2025-01-23T20:02:48Z | |
| dc.date.created | 2024-12-20 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Este trabajo presenta una plataforma diseñada para entender la dinámica de la industria de generación eléctrica colombiana, que además facilita la evaluación de políticas alternativas para la transición eléctrica sostenible al 2050. La plataforma se basa en un modelo de dinámica de sistemas que permite evaluar políticas eléctricas alternativas para alcanzar una matriz 100% renovable bajo diferentes escenarios. Su objetivo es superar las limitaciones de los enfoques alternativos tradicionales incorporando elementos como las complejidades inherentes a los entornos políticos y sociales que afectan a los sistemas eléctricos, los modelos mentales, los procesos de retroalimentación que influyen en la adopción de políticas y las mejoras iterativas en la toma de decisiones. Con el apoyo de la plataforma, es posible explorar el abandono progresivo de las tecnologías fósiles manteniendo la seguridad del suministro mediante la incorporación de la geotermia, la biomasa y las baterías, y haciendo un buen uso de los embalses del sistema. Los resultados indican que la robustez del sistema actual se reducirá con la eventual eliminación progresiva de las tecnologías fósiles, lo que pone de relieve la necesidad de desarrollar tecnologías como la geotérmica y la biomasa. Otros hallazgos significativos incluyen la identificación de déficits de programación debidos a la estacionalidad de las fuentes renovables y cómo el uso de baterías a pequeña y gran escala puede mitigar eficazmente este problema. | spa |
| dc.description.abstractenglish | This paper presents a platform designed to understand the dynamics of the Colombian electricity generation industry, which also facilitates the evaluation of alternative policies for a sustainable electricity transition to 2050. The platform is based on a system dynamics model that allows evaluating alternative electricity policies to achieve a 100% renewable matrix under different scenarios. It aims to overcome the limitations of traditional alternative approaches by incorporating elements such as the inherent complexities of political and social environments that affect electricity systems, mental models, feedback processes that influence policy adoption, and iterative improvements in decision making. With the support of the platform, it is possible to explore the progressive abandonment of fossil technologies while maintaining security of supply by incorporating geothermal, biomass and batteries, and making good use of system reservoirs. The results indicate that the robustness of the current system will be reduced with the eventual phase-out of fossil technologies, highlighting the need to develop technologies such as geothermal and biomass. Other significant findings include the identification of scheduling deficits due to the seasonality of renewable sources and how the use of small- and large-scale batteries can effectively mitigate this problem. | spa |
| dc.format.extent | 20 páginas | spa |
| dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | spa |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/36229 | |
| dc.language.iso | eng | spa |
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| dc.subject | Trayectoria de transición energética | spa |
| dc.subject | Energías renovables | spa |
| dc.subject | Dinámica de sistemas | spa |
| dc.subject | Colombia | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | Energy transition pathway | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | Renewable Energy | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | System Dynamics | spa |
| dc.subject.keyword | Colombia | spa |
| dc.subject.lemb | Energía renovable - Transición energética | |
| dc.subject.lemb | Dinámica de sistemas - Modelos de simulación | |
| dc.subject.lemb | Generación eléctrica - Sustentabilidad | |
| dc.title | Plataforma de evaluación de políticas para la transición eléctrica colombiana hasta 2050 | spa |
| dc.type.coar | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc | spa |
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