A network analysis of the structure and dynamics of FX derivatives markets during the global spread of Covid-19
Documentos PDF
Summary in foreign language
This work leverages inter-connectivity patterns and dynamics of the FX Options and
Non-Delivery Forwards (NDF) to uncover temporal changes in the structure and dynamics of these FX markets via network representations during the period between
December 2018 to October 2020. We find considerable structural changes to the NDF
market weeks before the volatility increase of financial indices such as VIX or VXEFA
and the World Health Organisation pandemic declaration on 11th of March 2020. The
NDF market shows evident structural changes, such as an increment in the diversity
of operations and the strength of preferential attachment activity. In contrast, the OPT
market shows significant changes in its dynamics rather than its structure. Comparing
each market dynamics indicates an increased divergence in the specificity of trade
operations and distribution of funds, reflecting each market’s contract flexibility. Lastly,
this study finds that the network representations provide a simple and insightful
understanding of the NDF and OPT markets, and provide a potential avenue for the
development of methodologies that provide earlier warning signs of economic instability
than traditional economic indicators.
Palabras clave
Network structure; Foreign exchange markets; Information systems; ComplexityLink to resource
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437123001048Collections
- Año 2023 [71]
Comments
Respuesta Comentario Repositorio Expeditio
Gracias por tomarse el tiempo para darnos su opinión.