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dc.creatorBentout, Soufiane
dc.creatorTridane, Abdessamad
dc.creatorDjilali, Salih
dc.creatorTouaoula, Tarik Mohammed
dc.date.accessioned2020-10-01T20:07:39Z
dc.date.available2020-10-01T20:07:39Z
dc.date.created2020
dc.identifier.issn1110-0168spa
dc.identifier.otherhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2020.08.053spa
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/14115
dc.description.abstractAs the COVID-19 is still spreading in more than 180 countries, according to WHO. There is a need to understand the dynamics of this infection and predict its the impact on the public health capacity. This work aims to forecast the progress of the disease in three countries from different continents: The United States of America, the United Arab Emirates and Algeria. The existing data shows that the fatality of the disease is high in elderly people and people with comorbidity. Therefore, we consider an age-structured model. Our model also takes into consider two main components of the COVID-19 (a) the number of Infected hospitalized people, therefore, we estimate the number of beds (acute and critical) needed (2) the possible infection of the healthcare personals (HCP). Hence, the model predict the peak time and the number of infectious cases at the peak before and after the implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI), and we also compare this finding with case of full lockdown. Finally, we investigate the impact of the shortage of proper personal protective equipment (PPE) on the spread of the disease.spa
dc.format.extent11 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherAlexandria Engineering Journalspa
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLspa
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozanospa
dc.subjectCOVID-19spa
dc.subjectAge-structuredspa
dc.subjectSIR modelspa
dc.subjectBasic reproduction numberspa
dc.subjectPeak epidemicspa
dc.subjectHospitals capacitiesspa
dc.titleAge-structured modeling of COVID-19 epidemic in the USA, UAE and Algeriaspa
dc.type.localArtículospa
dc.subject.lembSíndrome respiratorio agudo gravespa
dc.subject.lembCOVID-19spa
dc.subject.lembSARS-CoV-2spa
dc.subject.lembCoronavirusspa
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa
dc.rights.localAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2020.08.053spa
dc.type.coarhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1spa


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