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dc.creatorJiang, Xiandeng
dc.creatorChang, Le
dc.creatorShi, Yanlin
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-17T20:44:05Z
dc.date.available2020-09-17T20:44:05Z
dc.date.created2020
dc.identifier.issn2045 2322spa
dc.identifier.otherhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71023-9spa
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/13388
dc.description.abstractThe fourth outbreak of the Coronaviruses, known as the COVID-19, has occurred inWuhan city of Hubei province in China in December 2019. We propose a time-varying sparse vector autoregressive (VAR) model to retrospectively analyze and visualize the dynamic transmission routes of this outbreak in mainland China over January 31–February 19, 2020. Our results demonstrate that the infuential inter-location routes from Hubei have become unidentifable since February 4, 2020, whereas the self-transmission in each provincial-level administrative region (location, hereafter) was accelerating over February 4–15, 2020. From February 16, 2020, all routes became less detectable, and no infuential transmissions could be identifed on February 18 and 19, 2020. Such evidence supports the efectiveness of government interventions, including the travel restrictions in Hubei. Implications of our results suggest that in addition to the origin of the outbreak, virus preventions are of crucial importance in locations with the largest migrant workers percentages (e.g., Jiangxi, Henan andAnhui) to controlling the spread of COVID-19.spa
dc.format.extent10 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherScientific reportsspa
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLspa
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozanospa
dc.subjectCOVID‑19spa
dc.subjectDynamic transmission routesspa
dc.subjectRetrospective analysisspa
dc.subjectChinaspa
dc.titleA retrospective analysis of the dynamic transmission routes of the COVID‐19 in mainland Chinaspa
dc.type.localArtículospa
dc.subject.lembSíndrome respiratorio agudo gravespa
dc.subject.lembCOVID-19spa
dc.subject.lembSARS-CoV-2spa
dc.subject.lembCoronavirusspa
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa
dc.rights.localAbierto (Texto Completo)spa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71023-9spa
dc.type.coarhttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_2df8fbb1spa


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