Increase in the risk of type 2 diabetes during lockdown for the COVID19 pandemic in India: A cohort analysis
Date
2020Author
Ghosal, Samit
Arora, Bhavya
Dutta, Koel
Ghosh, Amerta
Sinha, Binayak
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Abstract
Lockdown due to the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID 19) pandemic may cause weight gain and
enhance the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We aimed to determine this risk in apparently nondiabetic individuals.
Material methods: Baseline demographic and clinical data from 100 apparently non-diabetic household
members (related or unrelated) of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus were collected until 49 days of
lockdown and analyzed using the XL-STAT statistical software. A two-pronged analytical strategy was
employed. First, the metabolic risk profile related to age, sex, weight, family history, and exercise pattern
was analyzed. This was followed by an assessment of the risk of developing type 2 diabetes using an
established risk assessment engine.
Results: There was a trend towards weight gain seen in 40% of the cohort, with 16% of the population
experiencing a 2.1e5 kg weight increment. When all the risk parameters were analyzed together using
the ADA risk engine, there was an increase in the ADA diabetes risk score in 7% of the population, with
6.66% in the high-risk group. There was a further increase in weight among 3% of the population who
were already obese at baseline.
Conclusion: We show an increased risk of T2MD consequent to weight gain during 49 days of lockdown
in India
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsx.2020.06.020Collections
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