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dc.creatorMi, Yan-ni
dc.creatorHuang, Ting-ting
dc.creatorZhang, Jun-xia
dc.creatorQin, Qi
dc.creatorGong, Ya-xin
dc.creatorLiu, Si-yu
dc.creatorXue, Hui-min
dc.creatorNing, Chang-hua
dc.creatorCao, Lei
dc.creatorCao, Yong-xiao
dc.date.accessioned2020-07-17T18:51:33Z
dc.date.available2020-07-17T18:51:33Z
dc.date.created2020
dc.identifier.issn1201-9712spa
dc.identifier.otherhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.04.055spa
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12010/10782
dc.description.abstractObjective: The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China has been basically controlled. However, the global epidemic of COVID-19 is worsening. We established a method to estimate the instant case fatality rate (CFR) and cure rate of COVID-19 in China. Methods: A total of 82 735 confirmed cases released officially by the Chinese authorities from December 8, 2019 to April 18, 2020 were collected. The estimated diagnosis dates of deaths and cured cases were calculated based on the median cure time or median death time of individual cases. Following this, the instant CFR was calculated according to the number of deaths and cured cases on the same estimated diagnosis date. Results: In China,the instant CFR of COVID-19 was 3.8–14.6% from January 1 to January 17; itthen declined gradually and stabilized at 5.7% in April. The average CFR in China was 6.1 2.9%, while the CFR was 1.0 0.4% in China except Hubei Province. The cure rate of COVID-19 was 93.9 2.9% in China, and stabilized at 94.3%, while it was 99.0 0.4% in China except Hubei Province. Conclusions: The instant CFR of COVID-19 in China overall was much higher than that in China except Hubei Province. The CFR of COVID-19 in China was underestimated.spa
dc.format.extent6 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.publisherScience Directeng
dc.sourcereponame:Expeditio Repositorio Institucional UJTLspa
dc.sourceinstname:Universidad de Bogotá Jorge Tadeo Lozanospa
dc.subjectCOVID-19spa
dc.subjectCase fatality ratespa
dc.subjectCure ratespa
dc.subjectChinaspa
dc.titleEstimating the instant case fatality rate of COVID-19 in Chinaspa
dc.type.localArtículospa
dc.subject.lembSíndrome respiratorio agudo gravespa
dc.subject.lembCOVID-19spa
dc.subject.lembSARS-CoV-2spa
dc.subject.lembCoronavirusspa
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessspa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionspa
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.04.055spa


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